Event predictions

This page presents a selection of "best" events.  These are also available through the Occultation Portal

Please check Occult Watcher Cloud, for details and updates, in the specific feed of the ACROSS campaign.
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Here below you can find predictions for events by:

  • The asteroid (65 803) Didymos. This is the main target of ACROSS, and the target of the DART/Hera first planetary defence missions.
  • OWC Logo The 9 potential secondary targets of Hera (ESA) in the next 5 years: (29 886) Randytung, (42 532) 1995 OR, (54 212) 2000 HJ89, (88 992)  2001 TJ72, (95 802) Francismuir, (122 764) 2000 SX69, (169 549) 2002 EG105, (188  708) 2005 TR99 and (477 416) 2009 WW1. 
  • NEAs with orbits that allow predictions with a decent probability of success, with a list of about 30 NEAs chosen according to their orbital quality (σa < 1e-9 au), size (D > 0.5 km) and presence in the Gaia DR3 database.

For each group, a table and images are published for the most accessible events in the following two months, and files with the full list of predicted events in XML format (produced by Occult) are shared at the end. It should be noted that, due to the low number of restrictions we apply in the XML files, they may have more than 20 000 events, in particular the general NEA files. 20 000 is the standard limit of events for Occult, as it claims that the processes involving a larger amount of events can slow down significantly. However, it is possible to raise this limit up to 100 000, the maximum Occult allows. To do that, it is necessary to enter the "Maintenance" section, choose "User Settings", go to "11. Asteroid occultations - Search and Display", where you can edit the limit. If necessary, the team can also provide smaller files upon request, for those who choose to keep this limit.

 

By accessible, we mean events with:

- Star Magnitude (Mv) <= 14.0;

- Maximum Duration (s) >= 0.2 (for the general NEA only);

- Path crosses significant amount of landmass on Earth's surface (not just oceans);

- Solar Elongation >= 45º;

- For the more general NEA events only, whether the path uncertainty is less than 5x the object's Diameter.

 

The tables have the essential information of each event: date, target asteroid's permanent number and name, target star's catalogue name and number, RA/Dec coordinates and Mv magnitude, and quantities related to the event, such as expected drop (in magnitudes), maximum duration (in seconds) and the general area of the globe where the event is visible. Also contained the Occu;t Map for every event. For the most promising Didymos events (red lines) and when requested by observers, the last column holds the .kmz file of the event with the predicted path and the topographic corrections applied.   

 

IMPORTANT: The .xml tables are only propagated once for the whole month for simplicity, while all the events displayed here and in OWC have been propagated to the date of occultation. So the maps in the xml and these images may not match perfectly. If you are insterested in observing an event not included in OWC or this website, please contact the ACROSS team, in order to have access to the most precise map we can get for it.



Interesting events in the near future



Didymos

 There are not any viable events by (65803) Didymos at the moment.  

 

Other Didymos events  for June-July in  XML format for Occult ( ~300 in total).

 

See dedicated page for the event on January 21-22, 2023 !



Potential Hera secondary Targets

 

 There are not any worth mentioning events by the potential Hera targets at the moment.

 

Other Hera events  for June-July in  XML format for Occult ( ~400 in total).

 

 



Other NEAs

 

 

DateAsteroidStarRADecConditionsZoneImage
NumberNameCatalogueNumberhmsdmsMvDropDuration
09/01/2025 2100 Ra-Shalom UCAC4 480-096636 19 20 13 5 58 2 13.4 2.0 0.24 Australia image
09/01/2025 16 Psyche UCAC4 548-011759 4 56 53 19 26 5 12.8 0.2 12.33 Australia image
09/01/2025 2100 Ra-Shalom TYC 0472-00298-1 19 20 19 5 26 29 11.4 3.8 0.24 Europe image
09/02/2025 2100 Ra-Shalom UCAC4 473-095173 19 20 27 4 27 50 12.4 2.9 0.25 Australia image
09/02/2025 2100 Ra-Shalom UCAC4 472-092610 19 20 28 4 20 27 12.1 3.2 0.25 Australia , Japan image
09/03/2025 7341 1991 VK UCAC4 328-103898 17 21 58 -24 29 16 12.3 9.8 0.15 Australia image
09/04/2025 2100 Ra-Shalom TYC 0468-03118-1 19 20 54 2 18 12 8.1 7.2 0.25 South America image
09/04/2025 2100 Ra-Shalom TYC 0464-03280-1 19 21 15 1 11 18 12.6 2.8 0.26 South America image
09/05/2025 2100 Ra-Shalom UCAC4 455-092068 19 21 17 0 57 25 12.3 3.1 0.26 South America image
09/05/2025 162173 Ryugu HIP 84481 17 16 16 -15 13 25 5.7 15.9 0.12 New Zealand image
09/05/2025 2100 Ra-Shalom TYC 0464-01563-1 19 21 30 0 19 18 11.0 4.4 0.26 Australia , Japan image
09/05/2025 2100 Ra-Shalom UCAC4 452-095686 19 21 31 0 16 59 11.2 4.2 0.27 Australia , Japan image
09/05/2025 3752 Camillo UCAC4 543-066574 17 48 47 18 34 51 13.2 5.5 0.08 Europe image
09/06/2025 2100 Ra-Shalom UCAC4 444-103843 19 22 9 -1 17 32 10.9 4.6 0.27 North America image
09/06/2025 2100 Ra-Shalom UCAC4 447-106273 19 21 55 0 42 40 10.8 4.7 0.27 Australia image
09/06/2025 2100 Ra-Shalom UCAC4 449-106138 19 21 45 0 18 18 13.3 2.3 0.26 Australia image
09/06/2025 2100 Ra-Shalom UCAC4 447-106271 19 21 55 0 42 2 8.9 6.6 0.27 South America image
09/07/2025 2100 Ra-Shalom UCAC4 441-101044 19 22 26 -1 55 17 13.1 2.5 0.27 Australia image
09/08/2025 2100 Ra-Shalom UCAC4 437-093991 19 22 49 -2 46 6 12.5 3.1 0.27 North America image
09/09/2025 2100 Ra-Shalom UCAC4 428-103313 19 23 50 -4 31 43 12.3 3.4 0.28 Europe image
09/09/2025 2100 Ra-Shalom UCAC4 428-103320 19 23 51 -4 35 39 12.1 3.6 0.28 Europe image
09/09/2025 2100 Ra-Shalom UCAC4 427-104070 19 23 52 -4 36 5 13.4 2.4 0.28 Europe image
09/09/2025 2100 Ra-Shalom UCAC4 427-104073 19 23 53 -4 38 5 11.9 3.8 0.28 Europe image
09/09/2025 2100 Ra-Shalom UCAC4 427-104076 19 23 54 -4 38 41 12.3 3.4 0.28 Europe image
09/10/2025 2100 Ra-Shalom UCAC4 423-118703 19 24 32 -5 35 15 13.6 2.2 0.29 Europe image
09/12/2025 2100 Ra-Shalom UCAC4 416-129669 19 25 30 -6 54 22 12.6 3.3 0.3 North America image
09/14/2025 2100 Ra-Shalom TYC 5726-01315-1 19 27 49 -9 23 36 11.1 4.9 0.31 North America image
09/14/2025 2100 Ra-Shalom UCAC4 407-118814 19 27 8 -8 44 3 12.5 3.5 0.31 Europe image
09/14/2025 2100 Ra-Shalom UCAC4 404-114330 19 27 44 -9 19 14 13.3 2.8 0.31 South America image
09/15/2025 2100 Ra-Shalom UCAC4 400-119416 19 28 37 -10 7 39 13.6 2.5 0.32 Europe image
09/16/2025 2100 Ra-Shalom UCAC4 397-114913 19 29 18 -10 42 32 11.9 4.1 0.32 Australia image
09/18/2025 2100 Ra-Shalom UCAC4 391-117758 19 30 50 -11 53 28 13.3 2.9 0.33 North America image
09/18/2025 162173 Ryugu UCAC4 372-096295 17 41 48 -15 46 40 12.2 9.5 0.06 Australia image
09/19/2025 16 Psyche UCAC4 548-013453 5 14 18 19 28 46 13.6 0.1 18.6 North America image
09/19/2025 2100 Ra-Shalom TYC 5731-01205-1 19 32 8 -12 46 31 11.7 4.5 0.33 Japan image
09/19/2025 3200 Phaethon UCAC4 660-021020 4 7 39 41 59 11 13.1 5.3 0.51 Japan image
09/24/2025 2100 Ra-Shalom UCAC4 370-174945 19 38 28 -16 9 44 10.8 5.8 0.37 Europe image
09/24/2025 3752 Camillo UCAC4 486-075065 18 5 24 7 1 24 12.0 6.8 0.08 Australia image
09/24/2025 162173 Ryugu UCAC4 371-110398 17 55 23 -15 58 27 11.7 10.1 0.06 Europe image
09/24/2025 3200 Phaethon UCAC4 662-020882 4 3 16 42 23 20 12.5 5.8 0.44 Europe image
09/24/2025 2100 Ra-Shalom UCAC4 371-171870 19 37 58 -15 56 4 12.8 3.8 0.35 Europe image
09/26/2025 2100 Ra-Shalom UCAC4 366-173120 19 39 60 -16 48 33 12.4 4.2 0.36 North America image
09/27/2025 16 Psyche UCAC4 548-014208 5 20 19 19 24 48 13.3 0.1 24.77 North America image
09/28/2025 162173 Ryugu UCAC4 370-120933 18 2 37 -16 2 52 11.7 10.1 0.07 North America image
10/01/2025 2100 Ra-Shalom UCAC4 354-181178 19 47 24 -19 19 45 12.4 4.5 0.37 Australia image
10/01/2025 3200 Phaethon UCAC4 665-020793 3 52 47 42 57 29 13.5 4.7 0.35 Japan image
10/02/2025 2100 Ra-Shalom UCAC4 352-177044 19 48 42 -19 41 32 13.1 3.9 0.37 Australia image
10/02/2025 2100 Ra-Shalom UCAC4 351-182513 19 49 13 -19 50 24 12.2 4.7 0.37 Europe image
10/02/2025 16 Psyche UCAC4 547-014733 5 23 30 19 20 40 11.0 0.7 31.93 Europe image
10/04/2025 2100 Ra-Shalom UCAC4 348-184884 19 51 37 -20 27 3 11.7 5.3 0.37 Japan image
10/09/2025 3200 Phaethon UCAC4 667-019258 3 39 28 43 15 1 12.4 5.6 0.29 Europe image
10/18/2025 2100 Ra-Shalom UCAC4 329-194562 20 13 41 -24 12 25 13.5 4.0 0.34 North America image
10/24/2025 3200 Phaethon UCAC4 663-014308 3 1 20 42 33 25 13.3 4.4 0.22 Europe image

 

 

Other NEA targets' events for June-Julyin XML format for Occult (>10000 in total, caution with Occult limit!).